Friday, January 04, 2008


So, Obama won Iowa. Think about that. A black dude won the majority of votes in Iowa. And he did it by bringing young people and independents into the process. That's really really cool.

The other night my dad asked me about the Des Moines Register Poll that showed Obama up 39-32 on Clinton. I rejected it out of hand because the survey projected for 60% of caucusers would be new voters. In reality, the number was in the 40s. That's still incredible.

One thing to note was that 20% of voters were independent (they're allowed to caucus if they register at the time of the caucus) and 4% were Republican, and Obama won these groups overwhelmingly since he only won 32-31 among Democrats. Hillary will try to spin this as non-democrats directing our direction. I say, who cares? He's bringing new people to the table, and that's powerful. Additionally, the next event is New Hampshire which also allows independents to vote in the democratic primary, so his model still works. Then comes Nevada's Primary, which is dominated by the labor unions and may not go fully for Obama, but after that is South Carolina, and I doubt that a 50% black electorate will get in the way of the first black nominee for President.

It's not a done deal, but unless there's a real game changer, Barack can really win this thing.

It's look like the revolution is here, I was hoping it would be a bit more radical, but I'll take what I can get.


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